PREDICT
Predict the process outcome while there is still time to change it.
Procesario Predict is designed to score every open case for what is likely to happen next — late, blocked, disputed, short-shipped, breached — with a calibrated confidence and an explanation your team can act on.
Procesario Predict
Why it matters
A dashboard tells you DSO went up last month. A prediction tells you which invoices will push it up next month, and why. Only one of those can still be acted on.
Anatomy of a prediction
Six things every prediction carries.
A score without these is a number. With them it is a decision aid.
Probability
The chance the outcome occurs within the horizon — per case, not per process.
Confidence
How well calibrated the model is for cases like this one. Reported, not assumed.
Business value exposed
The invoice value, the order value, the penalty — what the outcome would cost.
Main drivers
The factors behind the score, in process language a team can act on.
Intervention window
How many days remain in which an action can still change the outcome.
Model and evidence
Model version, horizon and the events the prediction rests on.
- Invoice value
- €148,200
- Expected delay
- 18–24 days
- Intervention window
- ~6 days
- Confidence
- calibrated · high
Drivers
- 1Unresolved dispute
- 2Approval variance
- 3Previous payment behavior
- 4Delayed invoice delivery
A note on accuracy
We do not publish generic accuracy percentages. Prediction quality depends on the process and the data, so the quality threshold for a given target is agreed during the Outcome Sprint and reported continuously afterwards.
No invented accuracy claimsCapabilities
What Predict is designed to do
Status labels are shown for every capability. Nothing is presented as available until it has shipped.
Next event and next activity
In developmentThe most likely next step for each open case, with uncertainty.
Remaining time
In developmentExpected time to completion, updated as events arrive.
SLA and outcome risk
In developmentProbability that a case misses its due date, discount window, promised date or SLA — per case.
Late payment
In developmentExpected payment timing and delay probability per invoice; dispute and non-response likelihood.
Delivery risk
In developmentProbability of missing the promised date per order line; short-ship and carrier delay risk.
Exception probability
In developmentMatch failure, block, hold and duplicate risk for payables before manual work accumulates.
Explanations
In developmentEvery prediction lists its drivers in process language: second approval loop, disputed history, amount above approver limit.
Calibrated confidence
In developmentA 70% risk is designed to mean 70%. Calibration and drift are monitored and reported.
Anomaly detection
PlannedCases deviating from their expected trajectory — before a rule exists for them.
Business-outcome forecasts
PlannedCash timing, penalty exposure and backlog projections aggregated from case-level predictions.
Champion / challenger
PlannedNew models prove themselves on your history before they touch the queue.
Scenario
Monday, 07:00 — the collections queue
Illustrative example
The queue opens with open accounts ranked by predicted payment delay and value exposed. For each: the probability, the confidence, the value at risk, the drivers and how many days remain to intervene. A recommendation sits beside each case, bounded by policy.
Decision handoff
A prediction on its own is a better report. Combined with policy, value and human judgment it becomes a permitted next step — which is what Orchestrate executes.
ContinueStart with the outcome you want to change.
Show us one process where delay, risk, rework or exceptions cost real money. We'll explore how Procesario could move from evidence to prediction to controlled action.